Simulation estimates S1mple and BC.Game chances to reach the Major

Dataminer and analyst Mischief ran 115 million match simulations and predicted that Alexander “s1mple” Kostylev and BC.Game have around a 34% chance to qualify for the IEM Cologne Major 2026.

He shared this on his page in X.

Considering how young the BC.Game roster is, these are quite high odds for the team to make it to the Major. If the prediction turns out to be accurate, the legendary player could soon return to the Major stage once again.

Mischief also stated that Team Spirit, PARIVISION, Falcons, NAVI and several other top teams have practically secured their Major slots — according to his numbers, their chances are about 99%. At the same time, the analyst believes BetBoom Team has decent prospects as well, estimating their qualification probability at 58,5%.

He отдельно emphasized that the calculations are not final, the results may be inaccurate and will be updated regularly as new matches are played.